AI & ML

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China’s AI Counteroffensive: Model Parity Under Silicon Constraints

TL;DR Chinese AI models deserve evaluation as distinct products from distinct organizations. Alibaba’s Qwen, DeepSeek, Moonshot’s Kimi, Z.ai’s GLM, and ByteDance’s Seed occupy different positions in model development and distribution. Huawei’s Ascend ecosystem addresses another problem: supplying and operating an alternative computing stack. Competitive model results do not establish that these organizations share an infrastructure […]

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The Agent Control Plane Is the Real Prize in the AI War

TL;DR An agent control plane strategy determines who governs the transition from a request to a consequential action. The important assets include identity, authorization, memory, model routing, tool access, workflow state, execution evidence, and the ability to stop further work. A model supplier can change while the organization remains dependent on the platform holding those

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Distribution May Defeat Intelligence: Google, Meta, Microsoft and Apple’s Hidden Advantage

TL;DR An AI distribution advantage comes from reaching people where a task already begins, supplying the context they are permitted to use, and returning a useful result without forcing them to reconstruct their workflow elsewhere. Browsers, productivity applications, messaging services, and operating systems provide different routes to that position. Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Apple each

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The AI Alliance Map: Every Frontier Lab Depends on Its Rivals

TL;DR The AI alliance map is a network of overlapping commercial relationships, not a set of independent teams. A company can invest in a laboratory, sell it compute, distribute its models, and compete with it in another market. Those relationships create opportunities and dependencies, but they do not all confer the same rights. For enterprise

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The Compute Arms Race: Stargate, Colossus, TPUs and the Gigawatt Battlefield

TL;DR The AI compute arms race is a competition to convert capital, power, silicon, networking, and software into useful work. Investment commitments, gigawatt announcements, accelerator inventories, and customer allocations describe different stages of that process. Comparing them as though they measure the same thing produces misleading conclusions. Stargate illustrates partner-led infrastructure expansion. Colossus illustrates rapid

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The AI Power Stack: Who Is Winning the AI Race?

TL;DR There is no defensible single winner across the entire AI market. Model performance, infrastructure access, consumer reach, enterprise adoption, and control over delegated work are different competitions. The most durable advantage may belong to the ecosystem that connects useful intelligence to identity, context, applications, and authorized action. My working forecast favors Google for the

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‘This Is Trump. It’s Always Been Trump.’

Why do we not obsess over Donald Trump’s aging as much as we did Joe Biden’s? On “The Opinions,” the columnist Michelle Goldberg argues that Trump, with his all-night posting and constant scandals, is still the man America elected in 2016. What is changing, she says, is how threadbare his mythos is becoming.

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