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FNN-VAE for noisy time series forecasting

In the last part of this mini-series on forecasting with false nearest neighbors (FNN) loss, we replace the LSTM autoencoder from the previous post by a convolutional VAE, resulting in equivalent prediction performance but significantly lower training time. In addition, we find that FNN regularization is of great help when an underlying deterministic process is […]

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Convolutional LSTM for spatial forecasting

In forecasting spatially-determined phenomena (the weather, say, or the next frame in a movie), we want to model temporal evolution, ideally using recurrence relations. At the same time, we’d like to efficiently extract spatial features, something that is normally done with convolutional filters. Ideally then, we’d have at our disposal an architecture that is both

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Forecasting El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an atmospheric phenomenon, located in the tropical Pacific, that greatly affects ecosystems as well as human well-being on a large portion of the globe. We use the convLSTM introduced in a prior post to predict the Niño 3.4 Index from spatially-ordered sequences of sea surface temperatures.

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An introduction to weather forecasting with deep learning

A few weeks ago, we showed how to forecast chaotic dynamical systems with deep learning, augmented by a custom constraint derived from domain-specific insight. Global weather is a chaotic system, but of much higher complexity than many tasks commonly addressed with machine and/or deep learning. In this post, we provide a practical introduction featuring a

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torch, tidymodels, and high-energy physics

Today we introduce tabnet, a torch implementation of “TabNet: Attentive Interpretable Tabular Learning” that is fully integrated with the tidymodels framework. Per se, already, tabnet was designed to require very little data pre-processing; thanks to tidymodels, hyperparameter tuning (so often cumbersome in deep learning) becomes convenient and even, fun!

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First mlverse survey results – software, applications, and beyond

Last month, we conducted our first survey on mlverse software, covering topics ranging from area of application through software usage to user wishes and suggestions. In addition, the survey asked about thoughts on social impacts of AI/ML. This post presents the results, and tries to address some of the things that came up.

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